****SUPER SCONE PREVIEW****

with NEIL EVANS

 

Monday: Nov 16, 2020

8 TAB RACES

SCONE RACE CLUB

#HomeOfTheHorse

434 Bunnan Rd, SCONE

 

Gates Open at 11.30am

FREE General Entry for Owners & Public

 

*1st Race @ 1.15pm & ALL Races carry a BOBS Silver Bonus available up to $9,625.00; while Race 1 also has a BOBS Extra Bonus of $5,625.00:

 

*Track Good 4 and Rail out 3m from 800m to Winning Post, and True the Remainder

 

*Race 1 1.15pm SARAH BISHOP ARTIST BM 58 HCP (2200m) – Min Weight 55kg; 3YO’s & Up; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

We start a strong and exciting meeting over the staying trip, and they’re a fairly even group. Tough Dubbo 7YO 3. CLUB TOWN (Michael Lunn/Ms Mikayla Weir a0kg; 58kg) doesn’t win often, but is hard fit, and beaten all bar the winner in his last three. Comes into this after charging home to just miss in a similar race at Dubbo when heavily backed.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Capable Newcastle 4YO 2. Political steps up in distance after a tough third-up win at Muswellbrook, but the query is he saves his best form for rain-affected tracks. Tamworth mare 1. Autumn Rain rises sharply in trip after dropping out over the mile here, and gets some much-needed weight relief. Won only previous attempt over this journey, and is drawn to get a charmed run on or near the speed. Include Gilgandra 9YO 6. Zagaya who held off Club Town at Dubbo, and carries the same weight after the claim.

 

Likely Tempo: Moderate to Fair

My Betting Attack: Club Town to win

 

*Race 2 @ 1.55pm PRYDE’S EASIFEED MAIDEN PLATE (1400m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

Improving Newcastle 3YO filly and short-priced fancy 12. ALWAYS ON SHOW (Kris Lees/Andrew Gibbons; 55.5kg) is the clear one to beat third-up from an ideal draw. Worked home nicely after being ridden quieter last time at home, and will relish the sweeping track.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Local filly 13. Keen Contributor will find this more to her liking at the third start, and back on top of the ground, after a fair effort in deeper company at Randwick.

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable

My Betting Attack: Always On Show to Win

 

*Race 3 @ 2.35pm SARDOS COFFEE MAIDEN PLATE (1400m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

Take two for the maidens. Local 4YO mare 9. INDUCEMENT (Stephen Jones/Brandon Griffiths a0kg; 57kg) is ready to break through third-up and back home on the bigger track.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Big market watch on 3YO gelding 6. Freckle Rock who debuts for a strong metro stable off two quiet trials, and with blinkers on; while

 

Likely Tempo: Fair to Solid

My Betting Attack: Inducement to Win

 

*Race 4 @ 3.10pm THE HUNTED GOURMET MAIDEN HCP (1000m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

Back to the sprint trip in what could well prove to be a strong form maiden. Debutant local 3YO Headwater colt 3. THE WAYFARER (Rodney Northam/Reece Jones a1.5kg; 56kg) looks a real good one in the making. Has natural early speed winning both spaced trials comfortably, and regular stable rider takes 1.5kg off.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Home track 3YO 1. Ranuncula has been freshened up via a handy heavy track trial, and hasn’t missed a place in three runs so far finishing hard from well off the speed; while another local filly 7. Baiyka resumes with no public trial, and has ability, but will need to harness all that early speed to get over from the outside barrier.

 

Likely Tempo: Good to Strong

My Betting Attack: The Wayfarer to Win and Quinella: 1 & 3

 

*Race 5 @ 3.45pm BIG SPORTS BREAKFAST BM 66 HCP (900m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

Good quality short course contest here, and I’ll be fascinated what time they stop the clock. Smart local 4YO gelding 4. STEP ON FIRE (Cameron Crockett/Reece Jones a1.5kg; 58kg) has been given a month since that dominant first-up BM 58 win at Muswellbrook. A little tougher here, but he has natural speed, and well treated at the weights after the claim.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Relentless 5YO Newcastle mare 6. Pearl Roan is on the quick back-up, and has a strong record on this track. Will slide over and likely sit just off the top selection. Be surprised if anything else wins, but include in exotics local 4YO mare 8. Talaaqy who can improve third-up with top country jockey booked, and winkers going on.

 

Likely Tempo: Good to Strong

My Betting Attack: Step On Fire to Win and Quinella: 4 and 6

 

*Race 6 @ 4.25pm MORGAN & ENGLISH SOLICITORS F & M BM 58 HCP (1300m) – Min Weight 55kg; Fillies & Mares; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

Talented home track 4YO mare 4. MOTHER’S MERCY (Paul Messara/Mitchell Bell; 59.5kg) hasn’t started for nearly 11 months since an impressive debut win here. Recent trial was strong, and she looks the one to beat drawn mainly outside horses.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Got plenty of time for progressive 4YO Newcastle mare 1. Leisa Louise who has been hard in the market and found the line well in two runs this prep. Blinkers have been added, and she gets a pivotal 3kg claim. Local 5YO 6. Now Or Never resumed with a strong closing effort at Muswellbrook despite being unwanted in betting, but hasn’t fired a shot second-up so far; while at bigger odds 7. Yulong Monoceros can drive into the finish after hitting the line in her last two, and she draws to get plenty of cover.

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My Betting Attack: Mother’s Mercy to Win and Quinella: 1 and 4

 

*Race 7 @ 5.00pm SCONE EQUINE HOSPITAL C, G & E BM 58 HCP (1300m) – Min Weight 55kg; Colts, Geldings and Entires; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

Now the boys’ edition, and progressive Wyong colt 5. THAILAND (Allan Denham/Greg Ryan; 59.5kg) can go back-to-back after an impressive and dominant win at Muswellbrook charging home from off the speed at only his second start. By a Cox Plate winner, and will lap up the long stretch here.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Local 5YO gelding 1. Free Rider had been close-up all prep until dropping right out in a tougher Highway at Rosehill in heavy ground. All three wins have come on firm ground, but back up sharply in weight from a wide draw are big queries. Watch the betting on resuming Newcastle 5YO 4. Lucitor who hasn’t started for 10 months, and comes in off two quiet trials.

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My Betting Attack: Thailand to Win

 

*Race 8 @ 5.40pm CONGRATULATIONS KOZI WIN CAVANOUGH RACING CLASS 1 HCP (1100m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

We wrap up the card with a competitive sprint, and this looks a real race in two, both having been scratched from Dubbo on Sunday to be saved for this. Talented 4YO Tamworth mare 1. THE FIRST OF MAY (Cody Morgan/Dylan Gibbons a3kg; 56.5kg) is by Zoffany, and resumes for a third prep off a dynamic trial win at Gunnedah by seven lengths. Drawn well, and supremely weighted after a 3kg claim.

 

*MAIN DANGERS: Smart 4YO local mare 3. Lady Patricia is the clear threat at her fourth start, with blinkers going on. Bolted in at Muswellbrook two runs back before doing her best work late in a handy CL1. Gap to the rest headed by home track 6YO 5. Eleazar who is much better than his strike rate suggests, and wasn’t far off Step On Fire last time under a bigger weight.

 

Likely Tempo: Good

My Betting Attack: The First Of May to Win and Quinella: 1 and 3

 

**My BEST EARLY BETS:

 

R5 4. STEP ON FIRE** Expect: $2.00 – $2.05; My Early Rating: $1.78

R7 5. THAILAND** Expect: $4.00 – $4.25; My Early Rating: $2.55

 

**My BEST EARLY VALUE:

 

R4 3. THE WAYFARER** Expect: $4.65 – $4.80; My Early Rating: $2.60

 

**TRAINERS TO FOLLOW:

 

Kris Lees*

Cameron Crockett*

Paul Messara*

 

**JOCKEYS TO FOLLOW:

 

Reece Jones**

 

GOOD LUCK

@NeilEvansmail

SCONE RACING

#HomeOfTheHorse

Next Meeting: Friday, Dec 11